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Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Despite significant store closures, optimism surrounds Big Lots due to potential strategic changes, operational improvements, and an uptick in bargain hunting as economic conditions tighten, possibly leading to enhanced sales and stock recovery.

Bearish Case: Ongoing financial struggles and store closures underscore a bleak outlook for Big Lots. With weak demand and substantial debt, continued operational challenges may threaten the company's survival and further depress stock prices.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful turnaround through strategic asset management (30%);

2. Continued consumer weakness and persistent store closures (50%);

3. Unexpected positive catalysts emerge (20%).

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August 21, 2024

Big Lots Forecast

BIG Big Lots

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

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ABCL AbCellera Biologics (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BIG

SNY Sanofi (0.0)

TTC Toro (-0.0)

ARDX Ardelyx (0.01)

CWEB Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.01)

URGN UroGen Pharma (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BIG

CNX CNX Resources (-0.83)

TRGP Targa Resources (-0.83)

SE Sea (-0.85)

BJ BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.86)

ACGL Arch (-0.89)

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