BIP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BIP has shown resilience through diversified portfolios and constant cash flows, as depicted by historical returns, which could persist if market conditions stabilize.




Bearish Case: High debt levels and market volatility pose ongoing risks, with backwardation in option volatility suggesting persistent economic uncertainty impacting BIP's performance.




Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of moderate growth; 30% potential for underperformance due to high debt; 20% probability of unexpected regulatory changes impacting profits.




Trading Oracle:

Given the moderate volatility in BIP options and potential for upside, a Bullish Long Volatility strategy is suitable. Buying out-of-the-money call options while selling fewer further out-of-the-money calls leverages potential profit on upward movements, aligning with current volatility traits.



May 11, 2025


Brookfield Infrastructure Forecast

BIP        Brookfield Infrastructure











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BIP



TMHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMHC  Taylor Morrison Home (0.87)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.87)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.86)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.84)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BIP



F Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   F  Ford Motor (-0.01)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.01)


LU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LU  Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.01)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.02)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BIP



NTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTR  Nutrien (-0.44)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.45)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.46)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.48)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.5)









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