RPM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: RPM's consistent historical growth and robust fundamentals, combined with recent positive sentiment from analyst forecasts, suggest potential upward movement. Additionally, a favorable earnings report may fuel further momentum.


Bearish Case: Recent insider selling and low trading volume signal caution, implying potential downward pressure on RPM's stock price. Furthermore, sustained low volatility indicates limited upside in the near term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance RPM rises due to favorable earnings reports and acquisition news.

2. 40% chance of continued flat performance reflecting low market interest.

3. 30% chance RPM declines due to rising market volatility and negative insider trends.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy by initiating long call debit spreads near current prices ($110-$115), targeting expirations around September. Given RPM's positive historical returns and the current AI market skew, this approach captures upside while limiting risk.


July 25, 2024


RPM International Forecast

RPM      RPM International











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RPM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.77)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.28)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.46)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RPM



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.28)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.46)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.77)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RPM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.77)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.28)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.46)





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