AI BIVI Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: BIVI could achieve significant price appreciation if upcoming trial results for its Alzheimer's treatment yield positive outcomes, potentially leading to FDA approval and heightened investor interest. Historical patterns show favorable returns for longer holding periods in similar scenarios.


Bearish Case: A negative outcome in the upcoming trial results may lead to substantial declines in investor confidence, triggering sell-offs that could reflect historical price lows. Ongoing market volatility could further exacerbate price declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive Phase 3 trial results: 20%.

2. Negative Phase 3 trial results: 30%.

3. FDA approval of a new drug: 25%.

4. Continued broader market decline: 25%. These probabilities consider historical performance, market conditions, and potential forthcoming events.


Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a long-dated debit call spread strategy with BIVI, targeting $3.50 and $4.00 strike prices. This bullish stance takes advantage of high implied volatility and anticipates upside potential from trial results. Risk remains capped while optimizing potential returns.


August 24, 2024


BioVie Forecast

BIVI      BioVie











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