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BNO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Improved geopolitical stability and increased demand, evident from rising call option volumes, suggest potential price recovery.

Bearish Case: Economic slowdown and elevated implied volatility indicate potential price decline, supported by historically bearish outcomes.

Potential Outcomes: 30% geopolitical stability raises prices, 40% economic downturn lowers demand, 30% stable prices with minor fluctuations.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread by selling BNO 31.00 C and buying BNO 32.00 C expiring in ~15 days. High probability of profit, appealing risk/reward profile, and 84% market odds of profitability.

January 03, 2025

United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil Forecast

BNO United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BNO

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.89)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (0.78)

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.77)

CLSK Cleanspark (0.63)

PSX Phillips 66 (0.63)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BNO

AMPS Altus Power (-0.0)

VIST Vista Oil & Gas Sab De Cv (0.0)

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.0)

DV DoubleVerify (-0.01)

VSAT Viasat (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BNO

COMM CommScope (-0.65)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (-0.68)

EPR EPR Properties (-0.69)

RDFN Redfin (-0.69)

OLPX Olaplex (-0.7)

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