NGG Forecast


Bullish Case: NGG's aggressive infrastructure investments and positive regulatory changes boost confidence, potentially driving the stock price up as energy demand surges amid a shift to green technologies.


Bearish Case: Deteriorating infrastructure readiness and rising regulatory hurdles could undermine operational efficiency, leading to customer dissatisfaction and a resultant decline in stock performance as growth prospects diminish.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Infrastructure upgrades lead to growth (60%).

2. Regulatory setbacks hinder performance (30%).

3. Major operational disruptions (10%).


Trading Oracle: Consider a debit spread on NGG using the 65.00 C and 70.00 C positions, targeting September expiry. The current implied volatility suggests long volatility strategies may yield high rewards amidst potential price surges. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile at current levels.


July 25, 2024


National Grid Forecast

NGG      National Grid











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ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.19)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.13)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.07)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NGG



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.07)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.13)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.19)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NGG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.19)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.13)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.07)





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