BRO Forecast


Bullish Case: BRO's consistent historical returns and strategic acquisitions fuel optimistic outlook. Low implied volatility supports steady growth potential.


Bearish Case: Concerns around high implied volatility and historical insider sales may cap immediate upside. Potential market downturn poses risks to performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Q3 earnings beat forecasts, driving price up: 65%;

2) Acquisition integration challenges cause price drop: 20%;

3) Gradual mean reversion lower: 15%


Trading Oracle: Recommend trading Helium Short Volatility credit spreads. Sell BRO July 19, 2024 $95 calls and buy July 19, 2024 $100 calls. Anticipate mean-reverting trends and implied volatility stabilizing. High probability of profit within 30-day horizon.


June 28, 2024


Brown & Brown Forecast

BRO      Brown & Brown











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BRO



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BRO



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.7)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.82)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BRO



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.7)





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