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AI CDMO Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Recent demand trends point to potential revenue recovery for CDMO, driven by a rebound in biopharmaceutical contracts. The market volatility suggests traders are preparing for significant price movement, potentially benefiting long positions.

Bearish Case: Continued operational inefficiencies and a high price-to-book ratio remain concerning, suggesting CDMO may experience further downward pressure. If market sentiment does not shift positively, prices could decline as investor confidence wavers.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Increased demand for CDMO services could result in a 45% likelihood of a price increase.

2) Weak financial performance persists, leading to a 55% chance of further declines.

3) New partnerships might drive growth with a 30% success rate.

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September 17, 2024

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CDMO Avid Bioservices

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CDMO

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PUBM PubMatic (-0.0)

CCI Crown Castle International (0.0)

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SVIX VS Trust - 1x Short VIX Futures (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CDMO

INTC Intel (-0.73)

FIVE Five Below (-0.73)

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.74)

NFE New Fortress Energy (-0.74)

NKE Nike (-0.75)

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