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CME Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CME's expansion into crypto, notably XRP futures, and significant growth in trading volumes, especially in ETH, support a bullish outlook. Stabilizing volatility reinforces this potential.

Bearish Case: High competition and regulatory scrutiny continue to pose risks. The flat volatility term structure and recent skepticism in social media highlight potential downside pressures.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of crypto-driven growth. 30% regulatory challenges. 10% due to operational issues.

May 22, 2025

CME Forecast

CME CME

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CME

UNM Unum (0.95)

ORI Old Republic International (0.92)

PPL PPL (0.92)

COMP Compass (0.9)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CME

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (-0.0)

SNY Sanofi (-0.01)

BA Boeing (0.01)

FE Firstenergy (-0.02)

CAT Caterpillar (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CME

NVO Novo Nordisk (-0.93)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.93)

VAL Valaris (-0.94)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.94)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.95)

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