COHN Forecast


Bullish Case: With increasing public interest and potential backing from key figures, COHN could experience significant gains. Positive sentiment around Cohen's assets and projects may spur investor confidence, leading to a potential spike in price.


Bearish Case: Ongoing legal troubles and negative publicity surrounding associated controversies may deter investors and impact COHN’s valuation. The historical price return surface suggests a high likelihood of low or negative returns over most holding periods.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of positive news driving prices up significantly.

2. 30% chance of continued flat performance amidst market absorption.

3. 30% chance of sustained declines due to unresolved controversies.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread with a 3-6 month horizon, leveraging potential positive momentum. This strategy targets limited downside while capitalizing on volatility with a high reward-to-risk ratio. Focus on short-term gains from upcoming events and news.


July 25, 2024


Cohen Forecast

COHN      Cohen











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COHN



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.4)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.32)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.29)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COHN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.29)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.32)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.4)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COHN



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.4)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.32)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.29)





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