CTMX Forecast


Bullish Case: CTMX shows promise due to strong partnerships, notably with Merck, and impressive revenue growth. Positive clinical trial results and product pipeline advancements bolster its outlook.


Bearish Case: CTMX faces high volatility and negative performance history. Recent price trends and potential clinical setbacks present significant risks, amplified by executive stock sales and market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Major clinical success (CX-2051; 25%).

2. Merck collaboration expansion impact (30%).

3. Negative trial results cause sell-off (25%).

4. Market volatility impacts price (20%).


Trading Oracle: Trade Helium Long Volatility debit spreads targeting the September and November 2024 expirations. Focus on CTMX 11/15/2024 5.00 C for bullish swings and CTMX 09/20/2024 2.00 P for downside protection. High reward:risk setup.


July 23, 2024


CytomX Therapeutics Forecast

CTMX      CytomX Therapeutics











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CTMX



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.6)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.27)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CTMX



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.27)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.31)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.6)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CTMX



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.6)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.27)





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