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CUBI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CUBI's recent volatility suggests a potential recovery bias, particularly given the recent 10.1% increase over the past 60 days and strong institutional support. With higher call volume, positive earnings momentum could drive further price appreciation.



Bearish Case: CUBI faces significant headwinds from regulatory scrutiny and potential integration issues, alongside a recent slight decline in price and elevated implied volatility. Market sentiment remains cautious, indicating further downside risks are likely.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1) Positive earnings surprise leads to 15% rise (30% chance)
  • 2) Regulatory concerns persist, causing a 10% decline (40% chance)
  • 3) Continued mean reversion holding prices steady (30% chance)



Trading Oracle: Consider a long call spread using $55C and $60C options expiring in January 2025, leveraging the current upward momentum. This strategy capitalizes on the bullish sentiment with a high reward potential while managing risks from potential mean reversion.


December 13, 2024


Customers Bancorp Forecast

CUBI        Customers Bancorp

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Uncorrelated Assets

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AVDL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVDL  Avadel Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


VMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VMI  Valmont Industries (-0.0)


REAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REAL  Therealreal (-0.0)


UBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBS  UBS (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CUBI


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ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (-0.54)


SCCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCCO  Southern Copper (-0.57)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (-0.59)


TGB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGB  Taseko Mines (-0.6)







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