CVAC Forecast


Bullish Case: Potential positive Phase 2 data (60% chance) and favorable resolution of IP lawsuits (30% chance) could lead to significant price growth. Recent strategic partnership and technological advancements also add upside potential. [Helium][Helium][semafor.com]


Bearish Case: Persistent legal issues and high operational costs create uncertainty. Analysts have downgraded revenue forecasts, indicating a potential financial struggle ahead. Increased layoffs and negative market sentiment can further push prices down. [Helium][Yahoo][biospace.com][biospace.com]


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive Phase 2 data: 60% (boosts stock) [Helium].

2. Favorable IP lawsuit resolution: 30% (stabilizes environment) [Helium].

3. Major cost-cutting: 70% (maintains price) [Helium].

4. Advanced R&D: 20% (boosts stock) [Helium].

5. Negative trial results: 40% (harms stock) [Helium]


Trading Oracle: Bullish scenario: Consider long-dated bullish debit spreads. Buy 07/19/2024 5.00 Call and sell 07/19/2024 7.50 Call, leveraging high IV and potential upward drivers like Phase 2 data and legal resolutions. 6–12 months outlook due to anticipated catalyst timing. This strategy has a high reward-to-risk ratio.


June 28, 2024


CureVac Forecast

CVAC      CureVac











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CVAC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.78)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.39)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CVAC



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.39)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.73)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.78)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CVAC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.78)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.39)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.73)





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