CVNA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Carvana's operational streamlining and profitability focus have positioned it for potential growth despite historical volatility. Positive market reactions to recent earnings suggest improving investor sentiment.




Bearish Case: High debt levels and market skepticism, coupled with high implied volatility and competitive pressures, raise concerns about sustainability and potential downward corrections.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Profitability leads to stock increase (50% chance).

2. Debt strain causes stock decline (30% chance).

3. Stable operations prevent major moves (20% chance).



May 09, 2025


Carvana Forecast

CVNA        Carvana











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CVNA



RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.94)


BAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAM  Brookfield Asset (0.94)


NDAQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NDAQ  Nasdaq (0.93)


IWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.91)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CVNA



KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.0)


EGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EGO  Eldorado Gold (-0.0)


JANX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JANX  Janux Therapeutics (-0.02)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.02)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CVNA



CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.78)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.78)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.79)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.8)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.8)









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