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CVNA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Carvana's operational streamlining and profitability focus have positioned it for potential growth despite historical volatility. Positive market reactions to recent earnings suggest improving investor sentiment.

Bearish Case: High debt levels and market skepticism, coupled with high implied volatility and competitive pressures, raise concerns about sustainability and potential downward corrections.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Profitability leads to stock increase (50% chance).

2. Debt strain causes stock decline (30% chance).

3. Stable operations prevent major moves (20% chance).

May 09, 2025

Carvana Forecast

CVNA Carvana

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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IWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.91)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CVNA

KO Coca-Cola (0.0)

EGO Eldorado Gold (-0.0)

JANX Janux Therapeutics (-0.02)

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.02)

DAN Dana (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CVNA

CRON Cronos (-0.78)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.78)

OGN Organon (-0.79)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.8)

STM New York Shares (-0.8)

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