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DNUT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Krispy Kreme's innovative promotions and seasonal product offerings may drive consumer engagement, potentially increasing sales and investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Cybersecurity issues and economic headwinds could negatively impact Krispy Kreme’s operations, reducing consumer spending and investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Cybersecurity issues impact operations (50%).

2. Promotions boost sales (60%).

3. Economic downturn reduces spending (40%).

Trading Oracle: Execute a 3-month bear put spread targeting the $10 strike. This leverages DNUT’s recent negative price trend and anticipates volatility-driven movement. This strategy has high reward:risk with controlled exposure.

January 11, 2025

Krispy Kreme Forecast

DNUT Krispy Kreme

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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ABEV Ambev (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DNUT

PLBY PLBY (-0.0)

OLED Universal Display (0.0)

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

WHR Whirlpool (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DNUT

CRS Carpenter Technology (-0.73)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.74)

WIX Wix.com (-0.74)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (-0.74)

GLNG Golar Lng (-0.76)

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