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DTC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: DTC's focus on innovative marketing and direct-to-consumer strategies may disrupt traditional models, potentially driving significant growth if successfully executed.



Bearish Case: Continued economic headwinds and high volatility suggest persistent negative pressure on DTC's market position, compounded by strong competition and financial instability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Stability with gradual recovery due to strategic realignment.
  • 50%: Continued decline from economic pressures.
  • 10%: Volatility spikes from unexpected news.


March 12, 2025


Solo Brands Forecast

DTC        Solo Brands

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DTC


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.94)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.92)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.92)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.91)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DTC


HBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBM  Hudbay Minerals (-0.0)


USAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAC  USA Compression (0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.01)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.01)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DTC


TPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPB  Turning Point Brands (-0.85)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.86)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.86)


ARGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARGT  Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (-0.87)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.88)







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