DTC Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: DTC could see upward momentum if favorable earnings and insider sentiment lead to increased market confidence, potentially recovering from current lows with positive catalysts.




Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and elevated operating costs may keep DTC under pressure, leading to further declines in price as market volatility remains high, supported by bearish sentiment in options pricing.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of continued price stagnation or decline amid economic pressure.

2. 30% chance of moderate recovery from positive earnings surprises.

3. 20% chance of sharp rally if broad market sentiment improves significantly.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread with DTC 2.50C 05/16/2025, buying and selling DTC 1.50C 05/16/2025 calls to capitalize on high IV and potential short-term rallies. Focus on earnings dates for maximum impact. This strategy enhances upside exposure while limiting downside risk effectively.



November 08, 2024


Solo Brands Forecast

DTC        Solo Brands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DTC



BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BA  Boeing (0.93)


GFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFS  GlobalFoundries (0.91)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.9)


SYNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SYNA  Synaptics (0.89)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DTC



DIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIS  Walt Disney (0.0)


TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBF  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (0.01)


HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (0.01)


VRDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRDN  Viridian Therapeutics (-0.01)


SQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQ  Square (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DTC



CPNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPNG  Coupang (-0.89)


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.89)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (-0.9)


RTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RTX  Raytheon (-0.91)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.91)









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