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DTC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DTC might surge with strategic brand acquisition and potential market support, despite historical losses and cautious optimism from social sentiment.

Bearish Case: DTC faces persistent downside risks from high historical volatility and recent price declines, signaling unfavorable market sentiment and growth challenges.

Potential Outcomes: Flat or declining price (65%), moderate rally if strategic initiatives succeed (20%), volatility spike from unexpected news (15%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread, leveraging the DTC 5.00C and 7.50C for February 2025. The play aims to capitalize on potential upside from strategic initiatives, amid high implied volatility. Balanced risk, targets 25%-30% return.

December 26, 2024

Solo Brands Forecast

DTC Solo Brands

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DTC

NTLA Intellia Therapeutics (0.9)

BIIB Biogen (0.89)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.84)

IEP Icahn (0.84)

CHPT ChargePoint (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DTC

S Sprint (0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.01)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.02)

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DTC

NRG NRG Energy (-0.87)

BBAR BBVA Argentina (-0.88)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.88)

PPTA Perpetua Resources (-0.88)

ARGT Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (-0.89)

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