MBUU Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Insider buying and market leadership in sport boats. Potential positive litigation resolution and good earnings could reignite investor confidence.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests significant uncertainty. Lingering litigation risks and historical underperformance might continue to pressure the stock.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive earnings: 20%.

2. Negative impact from ongoing litigation: 50%.

3. Continuation of flat to bearish trend: 30%. Probability estimates based on historical performance and current market sentiments.


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July 16, 2024


Malibu Boats Forecast

MBUU      Malibu Boats











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Uncorrelated Assets

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XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.55)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.67)


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VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.88)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MBUU



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.88)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.67)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.67)





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