DURA Forecast


Bullish Case: Recent price stability, historical resilience, and low implied volatility zones suggest an upward trend [{20}].


Bearish Case: Long-term return distribution skews low over various periods, heightened by high short-term IV [{20}].


Potential Outcomes: Price increase by 5-8% (60%), minor decrease by 3-5% (30%), sharp decline by over 8% (10%)


Trading Oracle: Initiate debit spreads (bullish). Target: Jan 2025. Setup: Long the 33 Call, short the 37 Call. Leverage lower IV around current levels for optimal risk/reward with significant upside potential.


June 30, 2024


VanEck ETF Trust - VanEck Morningstar Durable Dividend Forecast

DURA      VanEck ETF Trust - VanEck Morningstar Durable Dividend











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DURA



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.58)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.24)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.34)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DURA



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.24)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.34)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.58)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DURA



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.58)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.24)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.34)





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