EEA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EEA shows potential for positive returns over 1-2 years, supported by strong European equities and fading US attractiveness, according to historical data and ETF inflows.




Bearish Case: Political instability in Europe and high implied volatility signal potential corrections. Increased tariffs and geopolitical risks could further dampen growth, impacting EEA negatively.




Potential Outcomes:

1. European growth resurgence (35%).

2. Political instability (20%).

3. Tariff-induced market shifts (25%).

4. Robust European earnings (20%).



April 01, 2025


European Equity Forecast

EEA        European Equity











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EEA



TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.77)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.73)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.73)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.7)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EEA



MSGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGE  Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp - (-0.0)


PAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAG  Penske Automotive (0.0)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.0)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (0.0)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EEA



ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (-0.58)


NWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NWL  Newell Brands (-0.58)


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.62)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (-0.62)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (-0.68)









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