EL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Estee Lauder's long-term recovery potential, supported by its diversified product portfolio and strong brand presence, may drive a rebound. Volatility data suggests room for upward movement.


Bearish Case: Persistent bearish trends, compounded by flat price action and negative market sentiment, indicate ongoing decline. Elevated short-term volatility reinforces downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued Decline: 60% - Persistent downtrend.

2. Short-term Rebound: 25% - Potential for recovery on positive news.

3. Increased Volatility: 15% - Market uncertainty affecting price movement.


Trading Oracle: Strategically sell near-term bearish credit spreads targeting quick expirations, leveraging elevated short-term volatility. Simultaneously, buy long-term bullish debit spreads on dips, targeting potential recovery. Maximize alpha with skewed risk-reward setups.


July 16, 2024


Estee Lauder Cos. Forecast

EL      Estee Lauder Cos.











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EL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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