Bullish Case: EL shows short-term rebound with recent 7.2% rise from 90-day lows, potential for value discovery with P/B of 16, and options market pricing in more bullish risk.


Bearish Case: Consistent underperformance against competitors, a -39.5% year-on-year slump, and a generally flat options term structure signal ongoing struggles.


Potential Outcomes: Three scenarios:

1. Short-term bounce (30% probability) given recent 7.2% rise.

2. Continued bearish trend (50%) due to consistent underperformance.

3. Flat market reaction (20%).


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April 09, 2024


Estee Lauder Cos. Forecast

EL        Estee Lauder Cos.
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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