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EWG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EWG's bullish sentiment and recent price stability suggest potential recovery. Historical patterns and institutional confidence could drive prices above $34.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and elevated put volume imply market fear. Economic uncertainties in Europe, reflected in the data, could drive EWG towards $28.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilizes at $33 (30%),

2. Price rises to $34 due to bullish momentum (25%),

3. Decline to $28 amidst continued volatility (45%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread: sell $33.0 C and buy $34.0 C, capitalizing on 86% success odds, to hedge against downside while maintaining positive edge. Short-term outlook (~22 days).

December 27, 2024

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Germany Forecast

EWG BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Germany

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