Bullish Case: FBIO's recent price surge over the past 60 days [Helium], as well as promising clinical trial successes including treatment for HIV [Yahoo], potentially indicate strong future growth. The recent reverse stock split [Yahoo] might increase institutional investor interest and support stock prices.


Bearish Case: FBIO's recent public offering caused the stock price to fall drastically [Market Watch, Market Watch] and increased share count causing dilution [Market Watch]. The price trend over ten [-13] and two years [-11], and past month [-8], show decline. The company's implied volatility sitting at the 0th percentile suggests there's little expectation of price movement [Helium, Helium].


Takeaway: The future of FBIO relies heavily on its ability to follow through with the successful completion of clinical trials, its ability to fully utilize the public offering proceeds for R&D and continue to attract investment. Investors should proceed with caution due to recent price volatility [Market Watch, Market Watch, Helium, Helium].


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful proceeds from the public offering could help finance more research and trials, potentially boosting share prices to a higher level (50% chance) [Yahoo, Yahoo].

2. The new CAR T cell therapy could lead to a breakthrough, pushing FBIO's prices upwards (30% chance) [Yahoo].

3. The price could continue a downward trend if the offering does not garner expected interest or if any upcoming trials fail (20% Chance) [Market Watch, Market Watch].


November 11, 2023


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GEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GEO]  Geo Group (0.56)


HPK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HPK]  HighPeak Energy (0.56)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KRP]  Kimbell Royalty Partners (0.5)


GD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GD]  General Dynamics (0.48)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GDDY]  Godaddy (0.47)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to FBIO



APA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [APA]  Apache (-0.0)


FTCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FTCH]  Farfetch (-0.01)


NICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NICE]  NICE (-0.01)


SGEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SGEN]  Seagen (0.01)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BBY]  Best Buy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against FBIO



CFLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CFLT]  Confluent (-0.55)


THC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [THC]  Tenet Healthcare (-0.55)


IBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IBN]  ICICI (-0.59)


STZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [STZ]  Constellation Brands (-0.61)


SGH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SGH]  SMART (-0.62)