FPI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Stable food demand and technological advancements support FPI growth. High implied volatility presents trading opportunities with potential returns.




Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and environmental uncertainties weigh heavily. High volatility indicates potential downside and market instability.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stable demand drives growth (60% probability).
  • Regulatory changes restrict growth (30% probability).
  • Extreme weather impacts productivity (10% probability).



March 12, 2025


Farmland Forecast

FPI        Farmland











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FPI



GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.79)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (0.75)


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (0.73)


EUO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EUO  ProShares UltraShort Euro (0.72)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMZN  Amazon.com (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FPI



LOVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LOVE  Lovesac (-0.0)


SLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLG  SL Green Realty (-0.0)


PRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRM  Perimeter Solutions SA (-0.0)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.0)


MNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNST  Monster Beverage (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FPI



SJM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SJM  J.M. Smucker (-0.65)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.66)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (-0.66)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.71)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.73)









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