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FPI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FPI benefits from stable demand, technological advancements, and increasing farmland values, supporting long-term gains.

Bearish Case: Environmental concerns and regulatory risks may depress FPI, compounded by market volatility and potential policy shifts.

Potential Outcomes: 30% tech-driven growth; 25% environmental risks; 20% regulatory pressures; 15% stable demand; 10% extreme weather impacts.

Trading Oracle: Leverage long debit spreads on FPI 12.50 C expiring 08/15/2025. Focus on moderate bullish outlook with high implied volatility as a positive edge. Aim for strikes close to current levels to enhance risk-reward balance.

February 02, 2025

Farmland Forecast

FPI Farmland

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FPI

URBN Urban Outfitters (0.7)

RLX RLX Technology (0.68)

FREY FREYR Battery (0.67)

RIOT Riot Blockchain (0.67)

GTLS Chart Industries (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FPI

TRV Travelers Companies (0.0)

AXON Axon Enterprise (0.0)

KGC Kinross Gold (0.0)

TW Tradeweb Markets (0.0)

ADP Automatic Data Processing (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FPI

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.66)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.67)

LEN Lennar (-0.68)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.69)

GIS General Mills (-0.71)

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