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CMC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Positive market expansion and stable cash flow suggest CMC could capitalize on improving sector fundamentals, boosting its attractiveness to investors.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and underwhelming past earnings suggest potential for further downside, compounded by pressure from insider sales.

Potential Outcomes: 45%: Stock declines due to earnings concerns and insider sales.
30%: Price stabilizes as market absorbs volatility.
25%: Moderate rally on positive earnings and sector trends.

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June 20, 2025

Commercial Metals Forecast

CMC Commercial Metals

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CMC

$TEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies$ TEX Terex (0.87)

CMCSA Comcast (0.85)

SPCE Virgin Galactic (0.84)

MGM MGM Resorts International (0.84)

HST Host Hotels & Resorts (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CMC

BILI Bilibili (0.0)

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.0)

SNY Sanofi (0.0)

AMZN Amazon.com (-0.02)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CMC

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.67)

GILD Gilead Sciences (-0.68)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.69)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.72)

VRSN Verisign (-0.73)

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