FREY Forecast


Bullish Case: FREYR’s advancements in automated production and leveraging U.S. IRA incentives make it well-positioned to capitalize on green battery market demand [stocktitan.net][Yahoo].


Bearish Case: Persistent technical and financial challenges, plus competitive pressure from Chinese manufacturers, could hinder FREYR's commercial success [The Information][cleantechnica.com].


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful U.S. gigafactory (60%) boosts production,

2. Market volatility (30%) impacts short-term performance,

3. Delays in partnerships (10%) [Helium][Helium].


Trading Oracle: Trade a bullish debit spread using FREY Jan 2025 $2.50 C/$5.00 C. High implied volatility and potential U.S. production success offer profitable setup. Time outlook: 6-12 months. Positive edge due to high reward:risk and high probability-of-profit.


July 23, 2024


FREYR Battery Forecast

FREY      FREYR Battery











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FREY



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.4)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.15)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.38)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FREY



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.15)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.4)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.45)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FREY



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.4)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.15)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.38)





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