GAIN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GAIN shows potential upside from consistent dividends and a stable historical mean-reverting pattern, supported by low volatility for longer holding periods.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and uncertainty compared to SPY suggest potential declines amidst economic volatility and increased put option volumes.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stable performance due to mean reversion: 60%
  • Economic downturn impacts GAIN negatively: 30%
  • Slight upward trend driven by dividends: 10%



March 22, 2025


Gladstone Investment Forecast

GAIN        Gladstone Investment











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GAIN



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.79)


OCSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OCSL  Oaktree Specialty Lending (0.79)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.77)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.76)


TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GAIN



PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.0)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.0)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.01)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.01)


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GAIN



AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (-0.63)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.65)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.66)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)









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