GAIN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GAIN shows potential upside from consistent dividends and a stable historical mean-reverting pattern, supported by low volatility for longer holding periods.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and uncertainty compared to SPY suggest potential declines amidst economic volatility and increased put option volumes.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stable performance due to mean reversion: 60%
  • Economic downturn impacts GAIN negatively: 30%
  • Slight upward trend driven by dividends: 10%



March 22, 2025


Gladstone Investment Forecast

GAIN        Gladstone Investment











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GAIN



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.79)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.76)


TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (0.73)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.72)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GAIN



PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.0)


CRBP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRBP  Corbus Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.0)


IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GAIN



JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.74)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)


SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SARK  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.82)


YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)









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