GAIN Forecast


Bullish Case: GAIN's stable price and low volatility, coupled with high implied volatility and favorable model valuations, suggest potential for upside gains. The consistent option demand signals market interest.


Bearish Case: High put trading volumes and elevated implied volatility in puts reveal market nervousness. Discrepancies between historical and implied volatility indicate potential downside risks or limited growth.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Stable performance with minor fluctuations (65%),

2) Short-term dip driven by macro events or negative sentiment (25%),

3) Moderate upward movement despite broader market conditions (10%).


Trading Oracle: Initiate a debit spread (Helium Long Volatility). Buy 11/62/24 $11.62 puts and sell $14.12 puts. Expectation: short-term dip within 90 days leveraging high implied vol. High edge, high reward:risk, high probability-of-profit.


July 18, 2024


Gladstone Investment Forecast

GAIN      Gladstone Investment











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GAIN



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.29)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.29)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GAIN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.29)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.29)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GAIN



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.29)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.29)





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