VXX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Helium's implied volatility is higher than market, signaling potential VXX upside amid market shocks. Historical data shows mean-reverting patterns, suggesting current lows could spike unexpectedly.




Bearish Case: VXX's persistent downtrend, low option volume, and Helium’s bearish risk projection favor continued decline, with market uncertainty minimally impacting stable conditions.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of VXX spike due to geopolitical events, 60% likelihood VXX trades flat or down, 10% chance of gradual increase as markets stabilize.




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March 19, 2025


iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Forecast

VXX        iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VXX



VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (1.0)


CCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCK  Crown Holdings (0.61)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.6)


HIW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIW  Highwoods Properties (0.6)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.59)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VXX



JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (-0.01)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (-0.01)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.02)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (0.03)


VIST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIST  Vista Oil & Gas Sab De Cv (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VXX



GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.74)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (-0.74)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.77)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.79)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.84)









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