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CMCSA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: CMCSA's strategic broadband expansion and innovations in streaming, like NBA integration, may boost revenues despite current setbacks.



Bearish Case: High competition in streaming, regulatory scrutiny, and customer dissatisfaction could continue dragging down CMCSA’s stock performance.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Broadband subscriber growth due to new tech.
  • 40%: Peacock experiences slow growth.
  • 20%: Increased regulatory pressure impacts operations.
  • 10%: Strong innovation boosts stock significantly.



Trading Oracle:
Strategy: Bearish Short Volatility. Reason: High implied volatility and recent negative sentiment suggest potential stagnation. Selling ATM call options and buying more OTM options offers profitable risk/reward under current market conditions. This is consistent with ongoing bearish risks seen in market data.


May 20, 2025


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LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.84)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.84)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (0.83)


SAFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAFE  Safehold (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CMCSA


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.01)


UBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBS  UBS (-0.01)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (-0.02)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.02)


DNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNA  Ginkgo Bioworks (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CMCSA


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (-0.6)


KODK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KODK  Eastman Kodak (-0.62)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.65)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.71)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.71)







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