GDOT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GDOT's mean-reverting behavior and social media optimism could hint at potential rebounds. Expansion of partnerships may drive growth and spark investor interest.




Bearish Case: GDOT faces persistent profit margin pressures and struggles with market positioning. The historical underperformance and high implied volatility suggest ongoing challenges.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued Mean Reversion: 40%
  • Profit Margin Pressure Persists: 30%
  • Regulatory Challenges Emerge: 20%
  • Unexpected Positive Partnerships: 10%




Trading Oracle: Utilize bull put credit spreads between $8 and $9 expiring in 1-2 months. GDOT’s implied volatility suggests premium can be captured. Leverage mean reversion with high probability of profit.



February 04, 2025


Green Dot Forecast

GDOT        Green Dot











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GDOT



EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.85)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (0.78)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (0.76)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.76)


KRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRG  Kite Realty (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GDOT



ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (0.01)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.01)


DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (0.01)


FXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXC  Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar (0.01)


V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GDOT



DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.68)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.69)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.7)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.71)


USAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAC  USA Compression (-0.78)









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