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PHM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Despite recent declines, PHM's strong historical returns and low P/B ratio, coupled with positive market sentiment and future land acquisitions, provide a bullish outlook.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and increased put option volumes signal potential downward pressure, especially with looming economic uncertainties and rising interest rates.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Steady growth from strong fundamentals and positive sentiment.
  • 30%: Price stagnation due to market uncertainties.
  • 20%: Downturn from economic pressures.



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March 28, 2025


PulteGroup Forecast

PHM        PulteGroup

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHM


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.98)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.92)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.89)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.87)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHM


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (0.0)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (0.01)


MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (0.01)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.01)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHM


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.57)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.57)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.6)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.65)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.66)







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