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GEL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong offshore pipeline revenue, potential soda ash demand boost, and low volatility signal favorable conditions for growth.

Bearish Case: High implied volatilities and flat recent price action suggest market skepticism and potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Offshore pipeline revenue >$500M (70%).

2. Stable soda ash prices (50%).

3. Market volatility drives GEL below $10 (30%).

March 29, 2025

Genesis Energy Forecast

GEL Genesis Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GEL

GSL Global Ship Lease (0.78)

AMGN AMGEN (0.75)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (0.72)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.7)

AZN Astrazeneca (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEL

FE Firstenergy (-0.0)

HIMX Himax (0.0)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.01)

IPI Intrepid Potash (-0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEL

PFGC Performance Food (-0.67)

RELY Remitly (-0.68)

RJF Raymond James Financial (-0.68)

BANC Banc of California (-0.7)

HRI Herc (-0.74)

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