GEL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Robust offshore pipeline a potential growth driver, with possible $500M revenue boost. Historical return patterns suggest upside.




Bearish Case: Elevated volatility at lower strikes suggests persistent market risks, potentially maintaining GEL price pressures.




Potential Outcomes: Moderate growth driven by offshore developments (60% chance), price stagnation due to volatility (40%).




Trading Oracle: Execute call debit spreads using $12.50 and $15.00 strikes expiring June 2025. Implied volatility indicates potential price recovery, especially post-earnings.



February 16, 2025


Genesis Energy Forecast

GEL        Genesis Energy











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Assets that tend to move strongly with GEL



TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (0.87)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.81)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (0.8)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.78)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEL



BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.0)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.0)


CHRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHRW  C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.0)


VRSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSK  Verisk Analytics (0.0)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEL



TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (-0.74)


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.76)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.76)


DRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRI  Darden Restaurants (-0.79)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.83)









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