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GEL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: GEL could experience growth driven by strong pipeline revenues and favorably positioned options term structure, indicating market optimism.

Bearish Case: Persistently high short-term volatility and recent price decline suggest market uncertainty could suppress GEL's growth potential.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Offshore revenue exceeds $500M (70% chance).

2) Soda ash demand boosts prices (60% chance).

3) Elevated volatility restricts growth (40% chance).

May 01, 2025

Genesis Energy Forecast

GEL Genesis Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GEL

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.75)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (0.71)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (0.68)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.65)

WPC W. P. Carey (0.57)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEL

FNF Fidelity National Financial (-0.0)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.0)

HIMX Himax (0.01)

IBN ICICI (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEL

WWW Wolverine World Wide (-0.7)

CF CF Industries (-0.71)

ZBRA Zebra (-0.74)

MRVL Marvell Technology (-0.79)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (-0.82)

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