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GEL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong offshore pipeline revenue, potential soda ash demand boost, and low volatility signal favorable conditions for growth.

Bearish Case: High implied volatilities and flat recent price action suggest market skepticism and potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Offshore pipeline revenue >$500M (70%).

2. Stable soda ash prices (50%).

3. Market volatility drives GEL below $10 (30%).

March 29, 2025

Genesis Energy Forecast

GEL Genesis Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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CL Colgate-Palmolive (0.67)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.67)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEL

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SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)

VIR Vir Biotechnology (0.01)

HBM Hudbay Minerals (-0.01)

PARA Paramount Global (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEL

IONQ IonQ (-0.73)

SHAK Shake Shack (-0.73)

PAYC Paycom Software (-0.76)

SRRK Scholar Rock (-0.76)

AAL American Airlines (-0.8)

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