GEL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GEL's strong historical returns and offshore projects exceed revenue expectations, potentially driving prices above $15. Social sentiment suggests cautious optimism in growth sectors.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility signals market uncertainty. Weak soda ash prices and energy sector volatility could keep GEL stagnant or drive prices below $10, confirmed by elevated put trading.




Potential Outcomes: Soda ash prices rise (40%), GEL ascends past $15. Energy volatility impacts GEL negatively (60%), risking price drops below $10. Ongoing stability unlikely amid market conditions.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish vertical put spread, selling higher-strike puts with lower IV such as the 06/20/2025 $12.50 strike. High volatility justifies selling premium while diversifying potential gains. 3-6 month horizon maximizes profit potential aligned with current sentiment and oversold options .



January 21, 2025


Genesis Energy Forecast

GEL        Genesis Energy











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Assets that tend to move strongly against GEL



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