GPN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Positive acquisition synergies from EVO Payments and consistent demand for digital payments promising organic growth.


Bearish Case: Persistent price decline and heightened competition may limit growth potentials and put downward pressure on GPN.


Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of recovery with synergies, 25% decline due to competition, 45% potential stagnation given current volatility and trading volume.


Trading Oracle: Consider selling the 85/95 put spread expiring in about 35 days. This bullish short volatility strategy, with 75% Helium profit odds, captures positive edge and decay. The term structure reflects moderate market alignment, implying high reward:risk.


July 13, 2024


Global Payments Forecast

GPN      Global Payments











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GPN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.34)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.34)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.14)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.26)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GPN



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.14)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.34)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.34)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GPN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.34)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.34)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.14)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.26)





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