GSY Forecast


Bullish Case: Given the low historical volatility and consistent marginal price increase, GSY offers a reliable, steady performance suitable for risk-averse investors.


Bearish Case: Persistently flat historical returns and limited upside potential, especially under high implied volatility conditions, suggest minimal profit opportunities and potential downside risks.


Potential Outcomes: Continuation of stability 50%, modest decline due to inflation/rates 30%, slight increase from consumer spending 20%. Probabilities based on previous trends and economic forecasts.


Trading Oracle: Opt for short-duration, OTM credit spreads on GSY targeting strikes around 50-52. This maximizes premium capture from expected stability while hedging downside risks. Observe a 1-2 month expiration to exploit current low implied volatility and historically flat performance.


July 05, 2024


 Forecast

GSY      











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GSY



ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.74)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.74)


HLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HLT  Hilton Worldwide (0.74)


DLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLR  Digital Realty (0.74)


MGK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGK  Vanguard Mega Cap Growth (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GSY



CLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLX  Clorox (0.0)


BHF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHF  Brighthouse Financial (-0.0)


SVOL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SVOL  Simplify Volatility Premium (0.0)


MTTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTTR  Matterport (-0.0)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GSY



SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.7)


YUMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YUMC  Yum China (-0.71)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.71)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.73)





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