HAFC Forecast


Bullish Case: HAFC's strong institutional backing and recent upward revisions in earnings estimates suggest optimism. With a P/E ratio of 6.78 and continued dividend payouts, the stock may attract value investors, leading to potential price appreciation.


Bearish Case: Recent earnings misses, declining interest margins, and high implied volatility indicate ongoing operational challenges. The Helium model suggests further price declines, reflected in the high IV of deep OTM puts extending over time.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate recovery: 30% - earnings and operational improvements.

2. Continued decline: 50% - sustained pressure on margins.

3. Unchanged: 20% - neutrality in operational performance.


Trading Oracle: Trade a vertical put debit spread. Buy Jan 2025 10.00 Put (high IV, low delta) and sell Jan 2025 7.50 Put. This strategy is bearish with controlled risk, high reward:risk, and capitalizes on high implied volatility for leverage.


July 07, 2024


Hanmi Financial Forecast

HAFC      Hanmi Financial











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HAFC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.58)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.22)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HAFC



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.28)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.58)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HAFC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.58)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.28)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.22)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)





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