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HES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong Guyana production and current market trends suggest potential upside; call options volume supports bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price drop indicate concerns over market stability and regulatory impacts on HES.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Guyana success boosts stock (60%).

2. Regulatory challenges dampen growth (30%).

3. Market remains flat (10%).

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April 19, 2025

Hess Forecast

HES Hess

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HES

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.81)

INTC Intel (0.71)

RMBS Rambus (0.65)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.64)

TTI Tetra Technologies (0.63)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HES

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.0)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.0)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (0.0)

PLD Prologis (-0.01)

PL Planet Labs PBC - (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HES

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.45)

FE Firstenergy (-0.49)

YCL ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.5)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.59)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.61)

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