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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: Increasing fintech innovation and strategic innovations by ARKF could lead to a surge in investor confidence, potentially driving prices past key resistance levels. The overall market positivity could amplify ARKF's upward momentum, supported by higher call volume.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and market volatility may dampen sentiment toward fintech stocks, leading to declines in ARKF. High implied volatility exhibited in options suggests investors anticipate significant swings, which may further exacerbate downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Bullish market sentiment leading to a 40% rise in ARKF (30% probability).

2. Stability in fintech innovation resulting in flat performance (30% probability).

3. Adverse regulations could trigger a 30% drop in ARKF (40% probability).

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September 19, 2024


ARK Fintech Innovation Forecast

ARKF      ARK Fintech Innovation

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H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.89)


TRMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMB  Trimble (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARKF


BLCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLCO  BLCO (-0.0)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.0)


DJP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DJP  ZC SP REDEEM 12/06/2036 USD 50 (-0.0)


CDLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDLX  Cardlytics (0.0)


KWEB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KWEB  KraneShares CSI China Internet (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARKF


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.73)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.73)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.74)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.75)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.78)



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