HSY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Hershey’s historical return trend shows consistent growth for long-term holders, combined with lower volatility expectations. Higher call option volumes suggest positive sentiment.


Bearish Case: Flat recent price action and higher short-term implied volatility indicate potential upcoming uncertainty. Past controversies and insider sales present ongoing risks.


Potential Outcomes: 60% - Modest growth driven by brand strength; 30% - Reputational or legal issues impact sales; 10% - Flat performance continues. Estimates balanced based on historical trends and recent volatility data.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short volatility credit spread. Sell two $182.5 puts and buy three $180 puts expiring in ~2 days. Strategy has a 74% Helium odds of profit and leverages stable pricing. Offers positive edge and high reward:risk ratio.


July 05, 2024


Hershey Forecast

HSY      Hershey











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HSY



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.29)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.21)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.16)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HSY



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.16)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.21)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.29)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.37)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HSY



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.29)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.21)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.16)





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