HTLF Forecast


Bullish Case: With the pending merger with UMB Financial, HTLF stands to gain significant operational synergies and market expansion. Insider confidence and a positive relative strength index further support a price recovery.


Bearish Case: The recent spate of insider sales and historical underperformance over short holding periods, combined with CTLT's erratic price movements, suggest potential volatility and downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Merger Approval - 70% chance: drives stock upwards with improved market sentiment.

2. Regulatory Delays - 20% chance: causes temporary downward pressure.

3. Broader Market Downturn - 10% chance: negatively impacts all financial stocks.


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June 30, 2024


Heartland Financial USA Forecast

HTLF      Heartland Financial USA











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HTLF



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.48)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HTLF



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.48)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HTLF



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.48)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)





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