HUM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Humana's robust medicare advantage growth, strong partnerships, and diversified services, alongside improving sentiment and historical positive returns, suggest potential for stock appreciation.


Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures, rising medical costs, and potential trim in medicare advantage plans, coupled with high uncertainty and increased short volatility, pose substantial downside risks.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued MA enrollment growth offsets rising costs (50%).

2. Regulatory setbacks and higher medical costs strain finances (40%).

3. Trimmed MA plans impact membership (30%).


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May 28, 2024


Humana Forecast

HUM      Humana
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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