IBM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: IBM's strategic focus on AI, blockchain, and hybrid cloud solutions creates growth potential. Positive revenue trends and institutional investments signal confidence.


Bearish Case: Concerns over insider selling and long-term negative trends persist. High debt-to-equity ratio and market uncertainties pose significant downside risks.


Potential Outcomes: Positive AI/cloud investments yield 30% price appreciation. Insider selling and market volatility prompt 40% decline. Market stabilization leads to 30% sideways trading.


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish short volatility strategy. Sell July $175 put options and buy July $170 put options. With 73% market odds of profit and positive edge, capture premium over ~7 days. High reward-to-risk with limited downside.


July 07, 2024


International Business Machines Forecast

IBM      International Business Machines











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.5)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBM



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.5)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.5)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)





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