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IBP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The IBP options trading indicates a bullish sentiment with call options volume 83% higher than puts. Historical returns suggest resilience, and demand for green building solutions continues to grow.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility, especially in puts, coupled with a recent price drop and economic uncertainty, indicates potential downside risks in the near term.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: Moderate growth due to industry demand and favorable historical returns.
35%: Price correction from high volatility and economic instability.
25%: Stability due to muted social sentiment.

June 20, 2025

Installed Building Products Forecast

IBP Installed Building Products

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBP

LEN Lennar (0.93)

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DOW Dow (0.88)

KSS Kohl's (0.86)

ODP ODP (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBP

XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.01)

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (-0.02)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.02)

VRT Vertiv (0.03)

BWXT BWX (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBP

HOOD Robinhood Markets (-0.75)

VRSN Verisign (-0.75)

SAP Sap SE (-0.77)

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.8)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.82)

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