IEP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IEP could rally as call options trade significantly higher, showing bullish sentiment. Icahn's strategic maneuvers and clearing legal hurdles may enhance investor confidence.




Bearish Case: IEP faces declining historical returns and legal uncertainties. Backwardation in implied volatility suggests persistent short-term pressures, possibly leading to further declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Successful restructuring drives recovery (30%).
  2. Legal challenges depress prices (50%).
  3. Stagnation with mild fluctuations (20%).



April 24, 2025


Icahn Forecast

IEP        Icahn











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IEP



DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.95)


GOGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOGL  Golden Ocean (0.93)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.93)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.92)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IEP



DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.0)


TTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTI  Tetra Technologies (0.0)


MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (0.0)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.01)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IEP



GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.88)


CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (-0.88)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.89)


CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (-0.9)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.92)









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