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Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: Bulls could gain ground if upcoming earnings reports exceed expectations. Elevated implied volatility indicates a strong market forecast for potential price movements, suggesting optimism.

Bearish Case: Bears may capitalize if legal issues lead to adverse outcomes, as recurrent volatility could further weigh on the stock's performance, indicated by recent flat trading patterns and high IMV.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Favorable outcomes from legal issues (50% probability): Price surges to $20.

2. Unfavorable legal outcomes (30% probability): Price declines to $15.

3. Volatility spike around earnings (20% probability): Price oscillates between $16-18.

Trading Oracle: Consider selling a 1x $18 put and buying a 1x $15 put with expiration 37 days out; positive edge with a risk of 57% and expected 63% return. Low initial delta risk and high potential return leverage upside movements.

October 11, 2024