INVH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Robust growth in rental rates, portfolio expansion, and high occupancy (96.9%) support upward price potential.


Bearish Case: Rising operational costs and potential policy headwinds could pressure margins, leading to underperformance.


Potential Outcomes:

1) INVH surpasses expectations with strong rental growth (35%).

2) Cost pressures and policy impacts cause decline (40%).

3) Price remains stable due to balanced drivers (25%).


Trading Oracle: Trade a bull call spread, buying $35 strike call and selling $40 strike call expiring Jan 2025. Leverage high occupancy, rental growth, and favorable volatility outlook while capping risk and gaining edge from volatility term structure.


June 30, 2024


Invitation Homes Forecast

INVH      Invitation Homes











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