Bullish Case: Positive ION224 trial results and historical mean reversion suggest potential uptick. Strong safety profile and efficacy could drive investor confidence and share appreciation.


Bearish Case: Persistent insider selling, historical downtrend, and mean reversion hint at possible continuing bearish sentiment. High implied volatility indicates market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Trial success boosts stock: 25%.

2) Bear trend continues due to insider sales: 50%.

3) Mean reversion leads to range-bound trading: 25%.


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April 10, 2024


Ionis Pharmaceuticals Forecast

IONS        Ionis Pharmaceuticals
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

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AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AKAM]  Akamai (0.9)


IMVT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IMVT]  Immunovant (0.9)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PDD]  Pinduoduo (0.86)


AFRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AFRM]  Affirm (0.85)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ESTC]  Elastic (0.83)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to IONS



EQT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EQT]  EQT (0.0)


AVDL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AVDL]  Avadel Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


COCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COCO]  Vita Coco (0.0)


PSFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PSFE]  Paysafe Limited (0.0)


LH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LH]  Laboratory Corp. Of America (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against IONS



BMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BMY]  Bristol-Myers Squibb (-0.84)


GUSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GUSH]  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (-0.85)


HROW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HROW]  Harrow Health (-0.86)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [STAA]  Staar Surgical (-0.86)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [OGN]  Organon (-0.89)





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