IRBT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IRBT could recover if the Amazon acquisition is approved, unlocking synergies and boosting confidence. New product advancements in the smart home sector may also drive growth.




Bearish Case: The persistent decline in IRBT's price reflects skepticism, exacerbated by high competition and regulatory uncertainty. If the Amazon acquisition faces further hurdles, it may strain finances.




Potential Outcomes: 50% approval of Amazon deal bolsters market presence; 40% rejection strains finances; 10% new strategic partnership emerges, altering dynamics.




Trading Oracle: For IRBT, leverage bearish long volatility via a debit spread, using Jan 2025 7.00P/6.50P. With high implied volatility and regulatory uncertainties, this strategy provides a positive edge with a 77% probability of profit. Focus on short-term expiration for optimal risk-reward.



January 23, 2025


Irobot Forecast

IRBT        Irobot











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BLNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLNK  Blink Charging (0.69)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.63)


HXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HXL  Hexcel (0.63)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.61)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IRBT



IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.0)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.01)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.01)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (-0.02)


TIGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TIGR  UP Fintech (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IRBT



LTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTH  Life Time (-0.56)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (-0.57)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.58)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (-0.58)


PSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSN  Parsons (-0.61)









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