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Bullish Case: Increased call volume and elevated implied volatility suggest strong market optimism for IWC. Historical return data shows positive price trends over time, indicating potential for upward movement as investor sentiment improves.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility coupled with flat recent price action raises concerns about potential downturns. Market uncertainty may lead to heightened investor caution, risking further declines amid economic headwinds.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued sideways movement (40% chance),

2. Short-term dip (30% chance) due to rising volatility,

3. Gradual upward trend (20% chance) aligning with historical returns,

4. Significant decline (10% chance) driven by macroeconomic factors.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using IWC 125.00 C and 130.00 C options expiring in October 2024. This structure leverages high volatility for upside potential while managing risk. Target a 2-3 month outlook for maximum profitability.

September 18, 2024