IJH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The moderate increase in call volume and bullish risk suggests potential upward price movement. Historical return likelihood indicates moderate recovery potential.




Bearish Case: Implied volatility remains elevated, suggesting market skepticism. Historical declines and recent flat action point to potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Market Recovery (35%) - Positive economic indicators.
  • Market Correction (30%) - Persisting economic challenges.
  • Stagnation (20%) - Extended flat price trend.
  • Increased Volatility (15%) - Data surprises impact prices.




Trading Oracle:

Given the elevated implied volatility and the market’s uncertainty, implement the Bearish Long Volatility strategy. This capitalizes on potential downside while benefiting from premium increases due to volatility spikes.



May 03, 2025


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Forecast

IJH        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IJH



VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.99)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.95)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.94)


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.93)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IJH



ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (0.0)


NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (0.0)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.0)


EPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPI  WisdomTree India Earnings (-0.01)


  FERG   (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IJH



SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.63)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.7)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.71)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.71)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.91)









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