TYD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Slower job growth and potential rate cuts support bond prices. TYD options term structure shows lower implied volatility in the medium term, indicating stability. High call volume reflects bullish sentiment.


Bearish Case: TYD volatile price history and flat term structure signal potential downside. High implied volatility in short-term options indicates market fear. Bearish opportunities identified by Helium's model may validate a downtrend.


Potential Outcomes: 60%: TYD remains stable around $25 due to rate cuts anticipation. 25%: TYD rises to $27-30 as bond prices increase. 15%: TYD drops below $23 if economic data disappoint.


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July 10, 2024


Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares Forecast

TYD      Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TYD



ZROZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZROZ  PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (0.98)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.98)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (0.97)


TLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TLH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond (0.96)


BLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Bond (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TYD



ORCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORCL  Oracle (0.0)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (0.0)


KEY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEY  Keycorp (-0.0)


CTRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRN  Citi Trends (-0.0)


CMRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMRE  Costamare (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TYD



CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.7)


DAKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAKT  Daktronics (-0.71)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.72)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.92)


TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBF  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.95)





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