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RYAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RYAN's focus on expanding financial lines and acquisitions signals potential growth. Increasing options volume and stabilizing implied volatility suggest investor confidence, pointing to upside potential.

Bearish Case: D&O claims and financial instability pose risks. Backwardation in the term structure and elevated implied volatilities suggest market uncertainty could lead to a downturn.

Potential Outcomes: Successful MGU integration drives growth: 55%
D&O claims pressure earnings: 30%
Market stabilization leads to neutral outcome: 15%

June 27, 2025

Ryan Specialty Forecast

RYAN Ryan Specialty

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RYAN

PAYX Paychex (0.73)

GWRE Guidewire Software (0.72)

ALL Allstate (0.71)

BEKE KE (0.69)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (0.68)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RYAN

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (-0.0)

AA Alcoa (0.01)

SGML Sigma Lithium (0.01)

XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.01)

SU Suncor Energy (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RYAN

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.6)

XRX Xerox (-0.62)

ELF e.l.f. Beauty (-0.64)

NVAX Novavax (-0.65)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.67)

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