RYAN Forecast


Bullish Case: RYAN is positioned for growth with positive term structure IV trends and potential successful MGU integration. A mean-reverting price action suggests a rebound potential; 52.6% price increase from two years ago supports a bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: The high D&O claim issues could pressure earnings, with recent tweets indicating potential negative sentiment. Elevated implied volatility and Helium model signaling higher uncertainty provide further downside risk considerations.


Potential Outcomes:

1) MGU drives growth +65%.

2) D&O claims dampen financials -30%.

3) Mean reversion leads to neutral outcome +5%. Estimations rooted in current implied volatility and historical likelihoods.


Trading Oracle: Sign Up to access trading oracle trade ideas.


June 19, 2024


Ryan Specialty Forecast

RYAN      Ryan Specialty











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RYAN



UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.8)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.8)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.79)


MTDR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTDR  Matador Resources (0.78)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RYAN



MGNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGNI  Magnite (0.0)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (-0.0)


CWEB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEB  Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.0)


AFRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFRM  Affirm (0.0)


BITF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BITF  Bitfarms (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RYAN



NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (-0.74)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (-0.74)


GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.78)


HE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HE  Hawaiian Electric Industries (-0.79)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.83)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with RYAN


 Ask any question about RYAN!